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يدعوكم معهد #إدارة_المشاريع (المنطقة الغربية) لحضور لقاءه الشهري في #جدة يوم 27 فبراير في مكاتب فايبز. يُشارك فيه المستشار الاقتصادي والنفطي الدولي د. محمد الصبان خِبراته وعِلمه بمحاضرة وحوار عن “كيف تُدار المفاوضات”

@sabbanms

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وسط صحراء الربع الخالي… حقل شيبة ينبض بالحياة والنفط
الصبان: حقل شيبة تضاعف إنتاجه الى مليون برميل يوميا من النفط الخفيف جدا
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لو استطاع وزير الطاقة السعودي انتزاع موافقة روسيا على تعميق خفض الانتاج في اجتماع تحالف اوبك بلس القادم ( ٦ مارس)، فسترتفع اسعار النفط اكثر مما اقتربت منه وهو٦٠$ للبرميل تقريبا. وسيكون استكمالا لنجاحات الامير منذ ان اصبح وزيرا لكن العناد الروس صعب المراس
Oil Steady After 7-Day Rally on Supply Outlook and Stimulus Hope
(Bloomberg) — Oil steadied in London after the longest rally in a year on signs of tighter global supply, and hopes that Chinese economic stimulus will cushion fuel demand from the impact of the…

"رحلتي من الجامعة إلى أسواق النط العالمية" بمقر غرفة مكة المكرمة

Six Faces in the Race to Pump More Oil

Economist, Mohammed al-Sabban, advisor to the Saudi-Arabian petroleum ministry, pictured in The City of London, U.K. Tuesday, May 26, 2015. Photographer: Jason Alden for The Wall Street Journal for The Wall Street Journal
Photographer: Jason Alden
www.jasonalden.com

Mohammad al-Sabban

Mohammad al-Sabban has made a career ensuring an eager market for Saudi Arabia’s oil.

One of his proudest achievements, he says, was watering down language in a planned communique from a Group of Eight energy-ministers’ meeting in Rome a decade ago. The draft advised the club of wealthy countries to cut its dependence on fossil fuel. At the time, oil markets were straining amid big supply disruptions and soaring demand. World capitals were calling for more Saudi oil, not less.

“These specific countries are telling us to increase our production capacity,” says Mr. Sabban, a long-time economist at the Saudi oil ministry. “And at the same time you are pushing your member countries to reduce dependency on our oil.”

In the late 1990s, and again amid the global economic crisis in 2008, Mr. Sabban was crucial in guiding Riyadh oil policy—advising big cuts in production to bolster prices.

This time, things are different, he says. Saudi Arabia shocked the oil world when it convinced its fellow OPEC members late last year to keep pumping, despite the steep oil-price drop. Instead of throttling back again, Saudi Arabia has opened the taps wider, to keep its customers amid new competition—chief among them, U.S. shale producers.

“The current Saudi policy is trying to protect its market share in the wake of increasing production of conventional and shale oil” outside the cartel, he says.

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Mr. Sabban, 60 years old, stepped down from his official role as senior economic adviser at the oil ministry in 2013, but he continues to act as an adviser to Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi. He now runs his own consulting group in Jeddah, and also write for local Saudi papers, often acting somewhat like a mouthpiece for the oil ministry, at a time when Mr. Naimi’s own words can roil markets.

Saudi thinking this time around is heavily influenced by another crash in prices—in the 1980s, just before Mr. Sabban started at the ministry. New crude output from Alaska and the North Sea had flooded markets. OPEC did what it had done in the past—it slashed output. Saudi Arabia, OPEC’s biggest producer, cut the sharpest, from more than 10 million barrels a day in 1980 to around 3.8 million in 1985.

But other OPEC members didn’t cut as much as they had promised, and non-OPEC supply grew sharply. Saudi Arabia lost customers. The kingdom’s share of global oil exports fell dramatically, from 21% in the early 1980s to less than 9% in 1985. The lesson has weighed heavily on today’s oil ministry cadre, including Messrs. Sabban and Naimi.

Amid today’s price fall, the kingdom has raised its crude output to a record high of 10.3 million barrels a day, as of March. Saudi Arabia and OPEC are “trying to minimize the loss in oil revenues by increasing production,” Mr. Sabban said.

— Summer Said

شهادات دولية بموقفنا الحازم في مفاوضات الامم المتحدة للمناخ، دفاعا عن مصالح السعودية في وجه مؤامرة وخديعة المناخ من اجل القضاء على النفط تدريجيا كمصدر في ميزان الطاقة العالمي.

 

أول اجتماع لمجلس الوزراء عام 1373هـ والذي ترأسه الملك سعود انذاك

 

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